About OliveOdds & Support
Sports Predictions, Value Line Methodology & Android App Assistance
OliveOdds is NOT a betting tip service or bookmaker. We do not place bets or guarantee profits.
OliveOdds is an independent, quantitative statistical analytics tool and personal bet tracking ledger. We do not accept deposits, do not place wagers, and do not act as an intermediary for any gambling operator. All probabilities, calculations, and mathematical models are provided for informational, analytical, and entertainment purposes only. Sports events possess natural variance, and no algorithm can eliminate financial risk. Users bet entirely at their own discretion and risk.
1. What is OliveOdds?
OliveOdds: Sports Predictions is a modern Android application engineered for sports enthusiasts, analytical fans, and data-minded individuals who believe in mathematical objectivity over emotional guesswork.
Developed and published by Pablo García Aldehuela, OliveOdds translates vast historical sports datasets, match statistics, offensive and defensive efficiency ratings, and situational indicators into clear, intuitive model probabilities and fair market prices.
Algorithmic Modeling
Objective probabilities calculated across major soccer leagues using historical data and Poisson distribution frameworks.
Value Line Detection
Clear identification of pricing edges where bookmaker odds exceed our computed mathematical fair price.
Private Bet Tracker
Built-in personal ledger to record your picks, evaluate return on investment (ROI), yield, and track long-term discipline.
2. How It Works & The Value Line Methodology
Traditional sports betting often suffers from emotional bias, recency heuristics, and bookmaker overround (the margin or "vig" built into commercial odds). OliveOdds takes a rigorous, mathematical approach to eliminate bias:
Model Probabilities vs. Fair Odds (The "Value Line")
For every upcoming fixture, our algorithms estimate the true mathematical likelihood of each outcome (Home Win, Draw, Away Win). The model’s Fair Odds represent the inverse of that probability:
When a bookmaker’s offered market odds are higher than our calculated Fair Odds, the wager exhibits positive mathematical expected value (+EV). This threshold is what we designate as the Value Line. OliveOdds highlights these statistical variances so you can evaluate market pricing objectively.
Minimum Odds Requirement
Not all +EV opportunities offer an acceptable risk-reward profile. Backing heavy favorites at tiny odds leaves bettors vulnerable to rare upsets that wipe out multiple wins. OliveOdds enforces a strict minimum odds threshold to ensure that any highlighted value pick delivers sufficient payout to justify the variance of the wager.
Disciplined Bankroll Management (1% Stake Rule)
Even the most accurate mathematical models encounter inevitable losing streaks due to natural variance. The cornerstone of sustainable sports analytics is strict bankroll preservation:
The 1% Unit Rule: OliveOdds advocates wagering no more than 1% of your designated sports bankroll per individual pick. Flat fractional staking protects your capital against drawdowns and completely removes emotional chasing or martingale pitfalls.
3. Plans & App Access
OliveOdds offers transparent, flexible access tiers designed to fit casual fans and seasoned analysts alike:
OliveOdds Free
Essential prediction models and bet logging for casual match analysis.
- check_circle Daily featured match predictions
- check_circle Full personal bet tracker & ROI ledger
- check_circle Basic win/draw/loss probability view
- info Supported by non-intrusive AdMob ads
- shield Google UMP GDPR consent required for ads
OliveOdds Pro
Complete global coverage, advanced statistical tools, and 100% ad-free experience.
- verified 100% Ad-Free Experience
- verified Full access to all international soccer leagues
- verified Live Value Line indicators & fair price edge calculations
- verified Advanced performance analytics & league breakdown
- verified Historical model archives & backtesting stats
4. Responsible Gambling & Player Protection
OliveOdds is built to promote data literacy and self-awareness, not gambling addiction. We strictly require all users to be 18 years of age or older and firmly advocate responsible participation.
Healthy Habits for Sports Enthusiasts
- Treat sports wagering solely as a form of leisure entertainment, never as an income or investment source.
- Establish strict spending limits beforehand and stick to your predefined bankroll.
- Never wager under the influence of alcohol, heightened emotions, or fatigue.
- Never attempt to recover losses by placing larger, unvetted wagers ("chasing").
- Take regular breaks from sports betting and monitoring apps.
Free & Confidential Help Resources
Bundeszentrale für gesundheitliche Aufklärung
Free Hotline: 0800 1 37 27 00
check-dein-spiel.de →Gordon Moody Association
Multilingual Live Chat Available 24/7
gamblingtherapy.org →5. Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)
How do I cancel my OliveOdds Pro subscription? expand_more
How do I restore my purchase on a new Android phone? expand_more
How can I delete my OliveOdds account and data? expand_more
Why do market odds differ from the model's Fair Odds? expand_more
6. Support & Contact Information
Whether you have technical feedback, need assistance with your subscription, or want to suggest a new league feature, our developer support is available:
Pablo García Aldehuela
Developer & Publisher of OliveOdds (Android)
Berlin, Germany
GPA.XXXX-XXXX-XXXX-XXXXX) and the email address associated with your Google Play account to expedite service.